FNUS75 KPUB 231211
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLANCA WETLANDS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
511 AM MST WED FEB 23 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GENERAL FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE BURN AREA WILL BE SOUTHWESTERLY
TODAY...BUT AN UPPER DISTURBANCE TRACKING UP ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS WILL BRING AN INCREASE TO THE WINDS...AS WELL AS
DEVELOPING SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM. THE
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES AHEAD
OF THE DISTURBANCE. ALSO...IF THE STRONGER WINDS REMAIN
SUSTAINED...THEN THE MINIMUM RH VALUES GIVEN WILL MOST LIKELY BE
MET.

ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING WITH GOOD RH
RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THROUGH 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7500 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-18F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1800. POOR AFTER 0300.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(51 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0900. 10000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110223.BLANC.03/PUB