FNUS75 KBOU 241940 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MORAINE ADMIN ...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1235 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE AND THICKEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A STRONG JET STREAM CONTINUES TO TRANSPORT PACIFIC MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT VERTICAL MIXING DUE TO THE LACK OF SOLAR HEATING...HOWEVER GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON WILL HELP IN THE DISPERSAL DEPARTMENT. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING AND BECOME NUMEROUS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. THESE WINTERY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1500...THEN SNOW BECOMING LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-34. MIN HUMIDITY........47-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 2000...THEN PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-17. MAX HUMIDITY........94-99%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 1600-2400 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0200...THEN POOR UNTIL 0400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING NOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-29. MIN HUMIDITY........69-76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 34 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MORAINE ADMIN . +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/24-12 81 15 26 58 W 9 1 5624 W 35 167748 E 02/24-13 81 15 27 55 W 9 1 5997 W 35 179541 E 02/24-14 81 15 28 53 W 8 13 2 1 W53 6371 W 35 191334 E 02/24-15 76 15 28 53 W 7 1 6309 W 35 186890 E 02/24-16 76 15 28 54 SW 6 1 6247 W 33 182447 E 02/24-17 76 69 28 56 SW 6 6 2 1 W56 6185 W 33 178003 E 02/24-18 76 69 27 58 SW 7 1 5839 W 32 164775 E 02/24-19 76 69 25 62 W 8 1 5492 W 32 151546 E 02/24-20 76 80 20 75 W 8 13 2 1 W59 5146 W 31 138318 V 02/24-21 98 80 18 82 W 7 1 4709 W 29 118556 V 02/24-22 98 80 17 86 SW 6 1 4272 W 26 98793 G 02/24-23 98 80 16 89 SW 5 5 2 1 W54 3835 W 24 79031 G 02/25-00 98 80 15 92 SW 5 1 3075 W 23 61955 G 02/25-01 98 80 15 93 SW 6 1 2314 W 22 44880 F 02/25-02 100 80 14 94 SW 7 7 2 1 W56 1554 W 21 27805 P 02/25-03 100 80 14 93 SW 9 1 1714 W 24 37088 P 02/25-04 100 80 14 91 SW 13 1 1874 W 28 46372 F 02/25-05 96 80 14 89 SW 15 24 2 1 W64 2034 W 31 55655 F 02/25-06 96 80 13 90 SW 15 1 1780 SW 29 46172 F 02/25-07 96 80 13 89 SW 14 1 1526 SW 26 36688 P 02/25-08 77 80 13 89 SW 13 21 2 1 W64 1271 SW 24 27205 P 02/25-09 77 80 15 84 SW 14 1 2317 SW 30 69600 G 02/25-10 77 80 19 73 SW 16 1 3362 W 35 111994 V 02/25-11 96 80 20 70 SW 17 28 2 1 W73 4407 W 40 154389 E 02/25-12 96 80 23 65 SW 18 1 4597 W 40 158698 E 02/25-13 96 80 25 61 SW 18 1 4788 W 39 163006 E 02/25-14 96 80 25 62 SW 17 28 2 1 W76 4978 W 39 167314 E 02/25-15 96 80 25 63 SW 16 1 4957 W 38 163695 E 02/25-16 96 80 24 67 SW 14 1 4935 SW 37 160077 E 02/25-17 89 70 23 70 SW 12 18 2 1 W71 4914 SW 37 156458 E 02/25-18 89 70 22 73 SW 10 1 4750 SW 37 152010 E 02/25-19 89 70 21 73 SW 10 1 4587 W 37 147562 V 02/25-20 89 70 21 72 SW 10 16 2 1 W69 4424 W 37 143114 V 02/25-21 89 70 21 71 SW 9 1 4250 W 37 137982 V 02/25-22 89 70 21 68 SW 8 1 4190 W 38 140177 V 02/25-23 89 35 21 66 SW 7 7 2 1 W62 4131 W 39 142372 V 02/26-00 89 35 21 63 SW 6 1 4260 W 38 141106 V 02/26-01 89 35 20 65 SW 5 1 4390 W 37 139840 V 02/26-02 89 35 20 65 SW 5 5 2 1 W64 4520 W 36 138574 V 02/26-03 89 35 20 65 W 7 1 4597 W 33 135212 V 02/26-04 89 35 19 67 W 9 1 4675 W 32 131851 V 02/26-05 89 35 19 68 W 13 21 2 1 W67 4753 W 31 128489 V 02/26-06 89 35 18 71 W 15 1 4382 W 29 112452 V 02/26-07 89 35 18 73 SW 16 1 4011 W 28 96416 G 02/26-08 89 35 18 75 SW 17 28 2 1 W70 3641 W 25 80379 G 02/26-09 89 35 19 73 SW 18 1 4378 W 28 108072 V 02/26-10 89 35 22 67 SW 18 1 5116 W 30 135765 V 02/26-11 77 35 23 64 SW 18 30 2 1 W73 5853 W 32 163457 E 02/26-12 77 35 25 60 SW 20 1 5848 W 32 165244 E 02/26-13 77 35 26 56 SW 21 1 5843 W 33 167032 E 02/26-14 77 35 26 56 SW 21 33 2 1 W71 5838 W 33 168819 E 02/26-15 77 35 26 55 SW 21 1 5025 W 31 137948 V 02/26-16 77 35 24 59 SW 21 1 4212 SW 29 107077 V 02/26-17 77 20 22 61 SW 20 31 2 1 W70 3400 SW 25 76206 G 02/26-18 77 20 21 64 SW 18 1 2606 SW 23 56128 F 02/26-19 77 20 20 64 SW 17 1 1812 SW 21 36050 P 02/26-20 77 20 19 63 SW 16 25 2 1 W59 1018 SW 18 15972 P 02/26-21 77 20 19 63 SW 14 1 1038 SW 18 16451 P 02/26-22 77 20 20 60 SW 13 1 1058 SW 18 16931 P 02/26-23 71 20 20 59 W 12 18 2 1 W47 1077 SW 18 17410 P 02/27-00 71 20 20 57 W 12 1 1027 W 17 15918 P 02/27-01 71 20 19 61 W 12 1 976 W 17 14426 P 02/27-02 71 20 18 64 W 13 21 2 1 SW40 925 W 16 12934 P 02/27-03 71 20 18 65 W 13 1 850 W 15 11362 P 02/27-04 71 20 17 69 SW 14 1 775 W 14 9790 P 02/27-05 69 20 16 72 SW 14 22 3 1 SW32 700 W 14 8218 P 02/27-06 69 20 15 77 W 14 1 02/27-07 69 20 15 78 W 14 1 02/27-08 69 20 15 79 W 14 22 1 02/27-09 69 20 17 75 W 14 1 02/27-10 69 20 20 66 W 14 1 02/27-11 69 20 22 63 W 14 22 1 02/27-12 69 20 24 59 W 15 1 02/27-13 69 20 26 55 W 15 1 02/27-14 69 20 25 57 W 16 25 1 02/27-15 69 20 25 58 W 17 1 02/27-16 69 20 22 66 W 17 1 02/27-17 69 20 20 71 W 18 30 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110224.MORAI.02/BOU