FNUS74 KHUN 241405 FWSHUN SPOT FORECAST FOR FORD- DAY 5...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 805 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0712 CST ON FEBRUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA. THE MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST SITE INTO TENNESSEE THOUGH. AT MOST...EXPECT A FEW TENTHS OF RAINFALL AT THE SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL INCREASE STEADILY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL IMPROVE DISPERSION RATES BUT WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL BE SUSTAINED UP TO AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TONIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT. SOME STORMS COULD POP UP AHEAD OF THE LINE...AS EARLY AS 6-8PM BUT THE MAIN LINE SHOULD ARRIVE CLOSER TO 10-11PM AT THE SITE. STORMS ALONG THIS LINE ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. A SHORT PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THIS LINE...WITH AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE INCH OF RAIN. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT...BETWEEN 3AM AND 6AM ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 TO 75. MIN HUMIDITY........51 TO 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 61 67 71 73 70 RH..............81 71 63 57 54 56 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 10 S 13 S 14 S 13 S 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 1100 3300 4200 4200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 20 S 20 S 31 S 32 S 32 DISPERSION IDX..11 18 27 78 91 91 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 56. MAX HUMIDITY........89 TO 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. THEN...DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 31 TO 36 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 63 60 58 56 55 RH..............61 71 81 89 91 88 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 14 S 15 S 15 SW 14 W 13 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2400 2000 1700 1700 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 31 S 31 S 36 S 33 S 33 SW 26 DISPERSION IDX..66 66 68 37 37 36 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 100 100 100 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56 TO 59. MIN HUMIDITY........44 TO 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. THEN...DECREASING TO 2700 FEET AFTER 10 AM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 32 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 54 55 56 56 56 RH..............82 69 60 54 48 46 20 FT WIND......W 12 NW 10 N 9 N 8 N 7 N 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3300 2800 2700 2700 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..W 32 W 32 W 22 NW 15 NW 15 N 9 DISPERSION IDX..43 43 29 45 45 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...CROWE REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110224.FORDD.01/HUN