FNUS76 KMFR 240633
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR A-12 PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1033 PM PST WED FEB 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PST ON FEBRUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BROAD LOW PRESSURE...WITH ARCTIC ORIGINS...WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD
JUST WEST OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. THIS LOW WILL BRING COOLING TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY THAT IS LIKELY
TO FALL PRIMARILY AS SNOW. A TRUE ARCTIC COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL
RESULT A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SATURDAY MORNING IS LIKELY TO BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE WINTER
ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIRMASS WILL MODIFY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
WITH A MILDER AND WET STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    4-7 WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST SOUTHWEST 23 TO 33 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-22.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. LOWERING TO
                    1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH IN THE EVENING. DECREASING TO
                    6-14 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-31.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST 6-10 WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUST T0 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTH TO
                    NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110224.A12PI.01/MFR