FNUS73 KPAH 241757 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CANTRELL WOODLAND...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1157 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FROM NORTHERN ARKANSAS TO WESTERN KENTUCKY TODAY AND TONIGHT. A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT...PASSING ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. AFTER A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...ANOTHER FAIRLY STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT OUR REGION SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50. RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RN RN TEMP............43 43 44 45 46 47 47 48 48 49 48 47 RH..............100 100 100 100 96 79 71 65 68 68 71 71 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 15 10 15 10 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NE E E E E E E SE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 8 21 18 17 16 16 15 CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30. RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR.................86 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 28 TO 36 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............44 40 37 35 33 32 RH..............79 92 100 89 78 72 20 FT WIND......E 5 N 5 NW 7 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 500 800 800 900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 E 20 N 25 NW 30 N 33 N 36 CWR.............90 90 90 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45. RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 29 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............31 36 41 44 RH..............72 56 50 45 20 FT WIND......N 9G20 N 8G20 N 5G10 NE 4G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1900 2700 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..N 35 N 24 NE 13 E 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...GARY GOGNAT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110224.CANTR.01/PAH