FNUS72 KRAH 241325
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEWIS MILL POND...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
825 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
FOR LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

RAIN CHANCES APPEAR VERY GOOD FOR LATE TONIGHT (AFTER 6 AM) THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON (UNTIL AROUND 4 PM). AMOUNTS WILL BE SCANT THOUGH... JUST
A THIRD TO HALF INCH AT MOST.

THE OVERNIGHT SURFACE INVERSION SHOULD BREAK AROUND 10AM LOCAL TIME
THURSDAY MORNING. INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
RAPIDLY THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM TRACKS INTO TENNESSEE. THIS WILL
LIMIT STABILIZATION AND NOCTURNAL INVERSION DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT... WITH
TRANSPORT WINDS REMAINING NEAR 20 MPH.

STRONG WINDS AT 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY
WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
FORECAST AREA FRIDAY EVENING WITH A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1100
                    FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............77     97     99     99
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................49     56     61     62
RH..................59     49     44     46
20 FT WIND..........E 2    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........800    3000   3800   3800
TRANSPORT WIND......S 17   S 17   S 20   S 20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH...DECREASING TO 25 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    75     75     49     34     34
WEATHER COV.........WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
RH..................84     87     80     71     59     52
20 FT WIND..........S 10   SW 13  SW 13  SW 12  W 10   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....30     35     35     35     35     35

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
COOLER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
WARMER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 9 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY.

$$
FORECASTER...HARTFIELD
REQUESTED BY...KELLY CAGLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110224.LEWIS.01/RAH