FNUS75 KBOU 250002 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MORAINE ADMIN ...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 502 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING AND BECOME NUMEROUS AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WEST WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. THESE WINTERY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR GOOD DISPERSAL ON FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2000...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13. MAX HUMIDITY........83%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 0200...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000. FAIR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28. MIN HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17. MAX HUMIDITY........70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27. MIN HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MORAINE ADMIN . +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/24-16 91 15 23 62 SW 6 1 5499 W 37 175490 E 02/24-17 91 69 21 63 SW 6 6 2 1 W63 5307 W 37 170723 E 02/24-18 98 69 20 66 SW 7 1 5095 W 36 156463 E 02/24-19 98 69 19 69 W 8 1 4882 W 33 142203 V 02/24-20 98 80 18 72 W 8 13 2 1 W58 4669 W 31 127943 V 02/24-21 99 80 17 76 W 7 1 4593 W 33 134238 V 02/24-22 99 80 16 79 SW 6 1 4517 W 36 140534 V 02/24-23 99 80 15 81 SW 5 5 2 1 W61 4440 W 38 146829 V 02/25-00 99 80 15 82 SW 5 1 3980 W 36 125307 V 02/25-01 99 80 14 83 SW 6 1 3520 W 33 103785 V 02/25-02 100 80 14 83 SW 7 7 2 1 W75 3059 W 31 82264 G 02/25-03 100 80 14 83 SW 9 1 2657 W 29 68212 G 02/25-04 100 80 14 81 SW 13 1 2255 W 26 54161 F 02/25-05 96 80 14 79 SW 15 24 2 1 W70 1852 W 25 40110 F 02/25-06 96 80 14 76 SW 15 1 2636 W 29 71725 G 02/25-07 96 80 15 72 SW 14 1 3420 W 33 103341 V 02/25-08 93 80 17 65 SW 13 21 2 1 W73 4204 W 37 134956 V 02/25-09 93 80 20 60 SW 14 1 4502 W 41 162090 E 02/25-10 93 80 22 57 SW 16 1 4800 W 45 189224 E 02/25-11 94 80 24 54 SW 17 28 2 1 W66 5098 W 48 216358 E 02/25-12 94 80 25 51 SW 18 1 5156 W 49 223655 E 02/25-13 94 80 26 50 SW 18 1 5214 W 51 230951 E 02/25-14 94 80 27 50 SW 17 28 2 1 W82 5272 W 52 238248 E 02/25-15 94 80 27 54 SW 15 1 5247 W 48 221686 E 02/25-16 94 80 26 58 SW 13 1 5223 W 45 205123 E 02/25-17 97 70 25 64 SW 12 18 2 1 W76 5199 W 41 188561 E 02/25-18 97 70 24 67 SW 12 1 5043 W 38 166576 E 02/25-19 97 70 22 69 SW 12 1 4887 W 33 144590 V 02/25-20 97 70 21 70 SW 13 21 2 1 W66 4731 W 30 122605 V 02/25-21 97 70 21 70 SW 13 1 4314 W 38 144176 V 02/25-22 97 70 20 69 SW 14 1 4108 W 39 139461 V 02/25-23 97 35 20 69 SW 14 22 2 1 W68 3903 W 40 134746 V 02/26-00 97 35 20 68 SW 14 1 3676 W 38 120759 V 02/26-01 97 35 19 68 SW 13 1 3450 W 36 106773 V 02/26-02 97 35 19 67 SW 12 18 2 1 W69 3224 SW 33 92787 G 02/26-03 97 35 19 67 SW 10 1 2971 SW 31 81764 G 02/26-04 97 35 19 67 SW 10 1 2717 SW 30 70741 G 02/26-05 89 35 19 67 SW 10 16 2 1 W60 2464 SW 28 59718 F 02/26-06 89 35 19 68 SW 13 1 2510 SW 30 66176 G 02/26-07 89 35 19 69 SW 15 1 2555 SW 32 72634 G 02/26-08 89 35 20 69 SW 17 28 2 1 W61 2601 SW 35 79092 G 02/26-09 89 35 21 67 SW 17 1 3037 SW 36 94349 G 02/26-10 89 35 23 63 SW 17 1 3473 SW 36 109606 V 02/26-11 77 35 25 60 SW 17 28 2 1 W53 3910 SW 37 124862 V 02/26-12 77 35 26 58 SW 17 1 4154 SW 37 133000 V 02/26-13 77 35 26 56 SW 17 1 4399 SW 37 141138 V 02/26-14 77 35 27 54 SW 17 28 2 1 SW60 4644 SW 37 149275 V 02/26-15 77 35 27 54 SW 18 1 4478 SW 40 154501 E 02/26-16 77 35 26 53 SW 18 1 4312 SW 43 159726 E 02/26-17 72 25 26 53 SW 20 31 2 1 W53 4146 SW 46 164952 E 02/26-18 72 25 25 54 SW 21 1 3821 SW 46 151713 E 02/26-19 72 25 24 54 SW 21 1 3496 SW 46 138474 V 02/26-20 72 25 23 54 SW 21 33 2 1 SW46 3171 SW 45 125235 V 02/26-21 72 25 22 54 SW 20 1 2865 SW 45 111251 V 02/26-22 72 25 22 53 W 17 1 2560 SW 44 97267 G 02/26-23 71 25 22 54 W 16 25 2 1 SW38 2255 SW 43 83283 G 02/27-00 71 25 22 55 W 16 1 2151 SW 40 75709 G 02/27-01 71 25 21 58 W 15 1 2046 SW 38 68134 G 02/27-02 71 25 21 60 W 15 24 2 1 S28 1941 SW 36 60560 G 02/27-03 71 25 21 62 W 14 1 2257 W 32 60857 G 02/27-04 71 25 21 64 W 13 1 2572 W 29 61153 G 02/27-05 69 38 21 65 W 12 18 2 1 S23 2888 W 24 61450 G 02/27-06 69 38 21 67 W 9 1 3459 W 21 58529 F 02/27-07 69 38 21 68 W 7 1 4030 W 17 55608 F 02/27-08 69 38 21 68 W 6 6 2 1 SE10 4601 W 13 52687 F 02/27-09 69 38 22 66 W 5 1 4778 W 14 58562 F 02/27-10 69 38 24 63 NW 5 1 4955 NW 15 64437 G 02/27-11 69 38 25 61 NW 6 6 2 1 NE 2 5132 NW 16 70312 G 02/27-12 68 38 26 59 NW 7 1 5160 NW 22 95878 G 02/27-13 65 38 26 58 NW 10 1 5187 NW 26 121444 V 02/27-14 62 38 26 56 NW 13 21 2 1 N24 5214 NW 32 147010 V 02/27-15 59 38 26 56 W 16 1 5180 NW 33 152136 E 02/27-16 56 38 26 56 W 18 1 5145 NW 36 157262 E 02/27-17 55 18 25 56 W 21 33 2 1 NW35 5110 NW 37 162387 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110225.MORAI.01/BOU