FNUS72 KMLB 250941
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE CYPRESS CAT...SJRWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
441 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY
NEAR THE BURN SITE FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK
COOL FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. GUSTS TO NEAR 25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...LEADING TO HIGH DISPERSION. LOWEST RH VALUES WILL BE NEAR
40-45 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE SOMEWHAT AGGRESSIVE FIRE
BEHAVIOR TODAY.

COLLAPSING LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH THE APPROACH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL LIKELY CAUSE A STEEP SURFACE BASED INVERSION TONIGHT WITH CONDITIONS
BECOMING QUITE FAVORABLE FOR FOG FORMATION. ANY LINGERING SMOKE WILL
LIKELY BE TRAPPED NEAR THE GROUND AND DECREASE VISIBILITIES IN LOCALLY
DENSE SMOKE AND FOG LATE TONIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SSW AND INCREASING TO NEAR 15 MPH
                    WITH PEAK GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............73  76  78  80  82  83  83  79  75  71  69  67
RH..............68  62  56  52  49  47  47  54  62  73  76  81
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  13  14  14  14  14  12  12  12  8   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  21  22  23  19  18  16  11  7   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG
                    LATE IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF DENSE FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. SMOKE AND FOG MAY BECOME LOCALLY
                    DENSE NEAR THE BURN SITE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT TO CALM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............10.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF
                    DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...DOUG VOLTOINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110225.BLUEC.01/MLB