FNUS72 KRAH 251030 FWSRAH SPOT FORECAST FOR VALENTINE FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC 530 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0520 EST ON FEBRUARY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN AND BECOME WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 38 TO 45 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............94 94 94 94 94 86 86 86 66 66 66 21 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................62 63 64 66 67 68 70 71 72 72 72 69 RH..................95 94 90 84 81 79 71 65 55 48 42 42 20 FT WIND DIR......S S SW SW SW W W W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD......11 11 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 35 35 35 45 45 45 45 45 45 25 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.3 4.3 4.3 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....25 25 38 38 38 45 45 45 39 39 39 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 29 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............21 21 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................64 58 55 52 49 47 44 41 40 39 38 37 RH..................46 54 55 57 59 60 64 68 67 67 68 70 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 20 20 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 2.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 29 22 22 22 14 14 14 10 10 10 8 $$ FORECASTER...VINCENT REQUESTED BY...ROBERT LIPFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110225.VALEN.01/RAH