FNUS75 KBOU 280007 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 504 PM MST SUN FEB 27 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO TONIGHT WITH DRY NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR UNTIL 2300 OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY AND RATHER WINDY WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35-40 MPH AT TIMES ABOVE 8000 FEET FROM THE WEST. WINDDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0200...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 19-29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2200. POOR AFTER 0100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49. MIN HUMIDITY........15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 17-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25. MAX HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20-29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BUCK GULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/27-16 83 45 35 37 N 8 1 7890 NW 16 110369 V 02/27-17 83 30 34 38 NW 8 13 3 1 W14 7156 NW 17 110358 V 02/27-18 91 30 32 41 NW 9 1 6456 NW 20 109734 V 02/27-19 91 30 30 44 NW 10 1 5756 NW 22 109110 V 02/27-20 91 30 28 47 NW 12 18 2 1 W21 5056 NW 24 108485 V 02/27-21 91 30 26 50 NW 12 1 4165 W 25 90041 G 02/27-22 91 30 25 51 W 13 1 3274 W 25 71596 G 02/27-23 60 6 24 52 W 14 22 2 1 NW33 2383 W 25 53151 F 02/28-00 60 6 23 53 W 18 1 1909 W 28 43928 F 02/28-01 60 6 22 53 W 23 1 1435 W 29 34704 P 02/28-02 17 3 21 53 W 26 43 5 1 NW37 961 W 31 25480 P 02/28-03 17 3 21 52 W 28 1 777 W 28 19672 P 02/28-04 17 3 21 50 W 26 1 592 W 25 13863 P 02/28-05 17 0 21 49 W 24 39 5 1 NW39 408 W 23 8055 P 02/28-06 17 0 21 46 W 22 1 568 W 21 10075 P 02/28-07 17 0 24 40 W 18 1 727 W 20 12094 P 02/28-08 17 0 28 34 W 17 28 5 1 NW43 887 W 18 14114 P 02/28-09 17 0 33 30 W 18 1 2363 W 24 66174 G 02/28-10 17 0 37 28 W 21 1 3840 W 31 118235 V 02/28-11 17 0 41 26 W 22 35 4 1 W51 5316 W 37 170295 E 02/28-12 17 0 44 21 W 22 1 5928 W 38 198290 E 02/28-13 17 0 46 17 W 21 1 6539 W 39 226286 E 02/28-14 17 0 47 15 W 20 31 4 1 W64 7151 W 41 254281 E 02/28-15 17 0 47 16 W 18 1 6707 W 43 246009 E 02/28-16 17 0 45 18 W 18 1 6264 W 44 237736 E 02/28-17 12 0 46 19 W 18 30 4 1 W45 5820 W 45 229464 E 02/28-18 12 0 44 20 W 21 1 4530 W 43 174608 E 02/28-19 12 0 39 22 W 23 1 3240 W 40 119752 V 02/28-20 12 0 35 25 W 24 39 5 1 W29 1950 W 38 64895 G 02/28-21 12 0 33 26 W 24 1 1364 W 35 43405 F 02/28-22 12 0 32 28 W 24 1 936 W 31 27977 P 02/28-23 12 0 31 29 W 24 39 5 1 W28 507 W 29 12550 P 03/01-00 12 0 30 31 W 25 1 446 W 28 10660 P 03/01-01 12 0 29 32 W 26 1 386 W 25 8771 P 03/01-02 12 0 29 32 W 26 43 5 1 W46 325 W 24 6882 P 03/01-03 12 0 28 32 W 25 1 296 W 23 5998 P 03/01-04 12 0 28 31 W 25 1 268 W 22 5114 P 03/01-05 15 0 28 30 W 24 39 5 1 W48 240 W 21 4231 P 03/01-06 15 0 29 29 W 25 1 429 W 23 9660 P 03/01-07 15 0 31 28 W 25 1 619 W 26 15090 P 03/01-08 15 0 33 26 W 25 40 5 1 W35 808 W 29 20520 P 03/01-09 15 0 38 22 W 22 1 2378 W 31 67303 G 03/01-10 15 0 44 18 W 18 1 3948 W 32 114086 V 03/01-11 15 0 49 16 W 15 24 5 1 W39 5517 W 33 160870 E 03/01-12 15 0 51 15 W 14 1 6010 W 32 167372 E 03/01-13 15 0 52 16 W 14 1 6502 W 31 173875 E 03/01-14 15 0 53 17 W 14 22 3 1 W45 6994 W 30 180377 E 03/01-15 15 0 52 19 W 13 1 5883 W 26 141566 V 03/01-16 15 0 51 21 W 12 1 4771 W 23 102755 V 03/01-17 23 0 49 24 W 12 18 4 1 W32 3660 W 20 63943 G 03/01-18 23 0 47 26 W 13 1 2578 W 17 44094 F 03/01-19 23 0 42 30 W 14 1 1496 W 15 24244 P 03/01-20 23 0 38 34 W 14 22 4 1 W22 415 W 13 4394 P 03/01-21 23 0 36 37 W 13 1 352 W 12 3481 P 03/01-22 23 0 34 38 W 10 1 289 W 9 2569 P 03/01-23 23 0 32 38 W 9 15 4 1 W29 226 W 8 1656 P 03/02-00 23 0 31 39 W 9 1 211 W 9 1630 P 03/02-01 23 0 30 39 W 9 1 197 W 9 1603 P 03/02-02 23 0 29 38 W 10 16 4 1 W30 182 W 10 1577 P 03/02-03 23 0 28 38 W 10 1 172 W 10 1531 P 03/02-04 23 0 28 38 W 10 1 162 W 10 1485 P 03/02-05 22 2 28 37 W 10 16 5 1 W35 152 W 10 1439 P 03/02-06 22 2 29 37 W 10 1 267 W 12 2752 P 03/02-07 22 2 31 36 W 12 1 382 W 12 4065 P 03/02-08 22 2 34 33 W 12 18 3 1 W36 496 W 13 5378 P 03/02-09 22 2 40 29 W 10 1 2656 W 16 53574 F 03/02-10 22 2 47 24 W 9 1 4816 W 21 101770 V 03/02-11 35 2 51 21 W 8 13 2 1 W46 6975 W 24 149966 V 03/02-12 37 2 54 21 W 8 1 7785 W 26 184601 E 03/02-13 38 2 56 21 W 8 1 8594 W 29 219237 E 03/02-14 40 2 56 21 W 9 15 2 1 W52 9403 W 31 253872 E 03/02-15 42 2 56 22 W 10 1 8134 W 30 213756 E 03/02-16 43 2 55 24 W 10 1 6864 W 29 173641 E 03/02-17 45 6 54 26 W 12 18 2 1 W48 5595 W 28 133526 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110227.BUCKG.01/BOU