FNUS72 KFFC 271434 FWSFFC SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNSMORE MTN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 934 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY WILL BRING INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE STATE. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. REGARDLESS OF THE ABOVE CRITERIA WIND AND RH...THE FUELS DID NOT DRY TO MEET CRITERIA EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND WERE AROUND 10 PERCENT. CONFIDENCE IN CWR TODAY IS LOW. CURRENTLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH ALABAMA AND TENNESSEE. BEST CHANCE FOR CWR WILL REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA... HOWEVER SLIGHT CHANCE REMAINS ACROSS FAR NORTH GEORGIA AFTER 8 AM. THIS SLIGHT CHANCE REMAINS EQUAL THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND THUS THERE IS NOT A BETTER TIME ESTIMATE FOR THE CWR. THIS CHANCE WILL DRASTICALLY INCREASE THOUGH AFTER 7 AM ON MONDAY WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED RAINFALL. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........76 76 68 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............54 57 60 63 64 64 63 RH..............90 85 80 74 70 71 73 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...........4 4 2 2 2 2 2 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 82 82 82 91 91 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 58 57 56 54 54 RH..............77 85 91 93 99 99 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 6 S 8 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 LVORI...........2 4 4 4 5 5 CWR.............20 0 0 0 20 20 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 33 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........91 95 95 95 98 98 WEATHER COV.....S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 54 59 62 64 63 RH..............98 95 80 75 71 68 20 FT WIND......S 9 SW 9 SW 13 SW 23 W 25 W 22 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 35 40 35 LVORI...........5 3 3 3 3 3 CWR.............20 80 80 80 90 90 $$ FORECASTER...LAURA BELANGER REQUESTED BY...JASON DEMAS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110227.DUNSM.02/FFC