FNUS72 KFFC 271605 FWSFFC SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD HWY 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1105 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0601 EST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY WILL BRING INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE STATE. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. REGARDLESS OF THE ABOVE CRITERIA WIND AND RH...THE FUELS DID NOT DRY TO MEET CRITERIA EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND WERE AROUND 10 PERCENT. CONFIDENCE IN CWR TODAY IS LOW. CURRENTLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH ALABAMA AND TENNESSEE. BEST CHANCE FOR CWR WILL REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA... HOWEVER SLIGHT CHANCE REMAINS ACROSS FAR NORTH GEORGIA AFTER 8 AM. THIS SLIGHT CHANCE REMAINS EQUAL THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND THUS THERE IS NOT A BETTER TIME ESTIMATE FOR THE CWR. THIS CHANCE WILL DRASTICALLY INCREASE THOUGH AFTER 7 AM ON MONDAY WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED RAINFALL. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 79 79 79 79 79 79 63 63 63 63 63 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............59 58 60 60 62 63 64 65 67 68 69 70 RH..............71 78 80 81 80 76 74 72 69 66 63 60 20 FT WIND DIR..E E S S S SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 8 7 9 3 5 5 6 7 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 5 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW S SW S SE S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 15 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 DISPERSION IDX..5 7 7 7 7 7 7 49 49 49 49 49 LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 CWR.............0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1 UNTIL 0100...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....49 DECREASING TO 12. LVORI...............3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........63 90 90 90 91 91 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............69 67 65 64 63 60 RH..............63 68 72 75 79 88 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 2 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 5 10 10 10 DISPERSION IDX..49 14 14 14 10 10 LVORI...........1 2 2 2 4 4 CWR.............20 10 10 10 30 30 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................80 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0700...THEN 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 29 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO AROUND 47 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 120 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........91 94 94 94 93 93 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 58 63 67 70 70 RH..............91 92 81 73 67 61 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 S 6 SW 15 SW 17 W 14 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 25 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2 SE 2 S 4 SW 8 SW 9 W 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 10 25 25 20 DISPERSION IDX..10 19 19 19 120 120 LVORI...........4 3 3 3 1 1 CWR.............30 80 80 80 80 80 $$ FORECASTER...LAURA BELANGER REQUESTED BY...SARAH SYNOWIEC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110227.OLDHW.01/FFC