FNUS74 KBMX 281357 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 757 AM CST MON FEB 28 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0753 CST ON FEBRUARY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH CLEARING TONIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY AND WILL LAST THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 84 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 78. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 72 76 77 78 77 RH..............87 75 66 62 62 61 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 13 SW 16 SW 20 SW 18 SW 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1700 2700 3600 4100 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 SW 21 SW 29 SW 33 SW 32 W 30 DISPERSION......15 23 66 88 88 83 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....71 DECREASING TO 17. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 59 50 46 43 42 RH..............62 76 81 83 85 83 20 FT WIND......SW 12 NW 13 NW 13 N 12 N 10 N 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 2200 1500 1700 1700 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..W 28 N 23 N 20 N 18 N 17 N 17 DISPERSION......71 46 32 21 12 12 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 16 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 37. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 52 63 66 66 65 RH..............82 57 39 34 32 32 20 FT WIND......N 8 N 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1300 1900 3100 4000 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 NE 13 NE 9 E 9 E 8 E 8 DISPERSION......11 8 4 35 39 40 $$ FORECASTER...AARON REQUESTED BY...BLAKE MORRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110228.MORGA.01/BMX