FNUS72 KMLB 010228
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONHORSE COMMAND...BREVARD EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
928 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

UPDATED FORECAST BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY FROM
THE WEST BUT WILL TEMPORARILY TURN NORTHWEST AT THE BURN SITE.
WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE AND BACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT BUT REMAIN STEADY AT 6 TO 9 MPH. THE AMOUNT OF HEAT
GENERATED BY THIS LARGE FIRE WILL LIKELY KEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
GREATER THAN USUAL AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS THE REMAINDER OF THIS
EVENING. SINCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME CALM
OVERNIGHT...WIDESPREAD FOG IS UNLIKELY. HOWEVER EXISTING HEAVY
SMOKE FROM THE WILDFIRE MAY BE ABLE TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED REDUCED
VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A MILE IF ANY PATCHY FOG WERE TO DEVELOP
AND MIX WITH THE SMOKE LATE TONIGHT.

A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL EXIST LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE BURN
SITE LATE TUESDAY MORNING WITH A WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
TO NORTH.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....                            PCH PCH SCH SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                            FOG FOG RW  RW  RW
TEMP............73  71  70  69  68  67  65  65  64  63  64  66
RH..............56  60  65  67  70  75  78  80  82  85  82  78
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..12  10  10   8   8   8   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.18  18  18  15                  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15
                    TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY/WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...JIM ROBERTS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110228.IRONH.01/MLB