FNUS73 KDVN 011433
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUISA PILES...PORT LOUISA NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
833 AM CST TUE MAR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 CST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW TODAY TO BOOST TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 40S.
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING TURNING THE WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST BY TONIGHT.  COLD
NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW WEDNESDAY.  NO CHANCE OF RAIN EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTH AT 5-10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........A SLIGHT SHIFT FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BETWEEN
                    8 AND 11 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO 1200 FT AGL
                    DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  DECREASING AGAIN
                    AS FRONT MOVES IN LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     39     44     46     45
RH..............78     59     55     53     55
EYE LEVEL WIND..190/8  200/12 200/14 220/15 240/15
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     15     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 22.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHWEST IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON - AROUND 4 PM...TO NORTHWEST
                    BY 9 PM THIS EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET EARLY EVENING WITH FRONT
                    PASSAGE...THEN INCREASING TO 1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 12 TO
                    17 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 36.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS BEGINNING NORTH...THEN GRADUALLY SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LE
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT AFFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110301.LOUIS.01/DVN