FNUS72 KMLB 011144
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONHORSE COMMAND...FLORIDA DIV. OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
644 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0622 EST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME WESTERLY
BY MID MORNING. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE BURN PERIMETER AREA SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE...BRINGING THE THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS OF 30 KNOTS AND A FEW
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHERLY BY
LATE MORNING AND BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON...PUSHING
THE SMOKE PLUME TOWARD THE SOUTH DURING THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL NEAR
THE BURN PERIMETER WILL DIMINISH BY MIDDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE AREAS OF SMOKE. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS ENDING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 18 TO
                    22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....DEF SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....SMK RW  TS  TS  RW  RW  RW  SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TEMP............67  68  70  71  73  74  76  76  75  75  74  71
RH..............84  84  84  79  79  73  69  63  63  61  65  68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   8   7   8   10  13  15  17  17  17  16
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  10  10  10  15  15  20  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
LVORI...............4.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.

$$
FORECASTER...GLITTO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110301.IRONH.01/MLB