FNUS73 KPAH 011607 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRISON TRACT...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1007 AM CST TUE MAR 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE HEARTLAND WILL BE UNDER A DRY WEATHER REGIME FOR MOST OF THE WEEK...WITH QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOWER AFTERNOON HUMIDITY. THERE WILL BE A SLOW WARMING TREND FOR MOST OF THE WEEK...THEN ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD RESULT IN MORE PRECIPITATION BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 55 56 55 53 RH..............37 34 30 34 38 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 44 41 38 36 34 RH..............44 55 64 70 77 83 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 W 5 W 4 NW 4 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....700 400 300 200 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 6 SW 6 SW 5 W 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............33 42 53 58 RH..............89 66 46 41 20 FT WIND......N 3G5 N 3G5 NE 3G5 NE 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....200 1000 2200 2900 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 3 N 7 NE 6 E 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL BILL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110301.HARRI.01/PAH