FNUS75 KBOU 021203 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 503 AM MST WED MAR 2 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT VARIABLE CLOUD COVER THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AND THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL SHOULD BECOME GOOD AFTER 1100. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6600-7600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....34. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0800...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8000-9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 10600-11600 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 7800-8800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/02-04 28 0 32 43 W 9 1 128 W 9 1038 P 03/02-05 33 0 31 45 W 9 15 4 1 W28 117 W 9 954 P 03/02-06 33 0 30 47 W 8 1 233 W 9 1874 P 03/02-07 33 0 30 47 W 8 1 348 W 9 2794 P 03/02-08 33 0 42 30 W 7 7 2 1 W23 464 W 9 3714 P 03/02-09 28 0 50 23 SW 7 1 2460 W 13 36800 P 03/02-10 28 0 54 19 SW 8 1 4457 W 15 69886 G 03/02-11 28 0 54 20 SW 8 13 3 1 W33 6454 W 18 102972 V 03/02-12 28 0 54 21 SW 7 1 6929 W 17 106389 V 03/02-13 36 0 54 21 SW 7 1 7405 W 17 109806 V 03/02-14 36 0 54 22 SW 6 6 2 1 W35 7881 W 16 113223 V 03/02-15 36 0 54 23 SW 7 1 7474 W 16 108172 V 03/02-16 36 0 54 24 W 7 1 7067 W 17 103121 V 03/02-17 38 0 54 25 W 8 13 2 1 W28 6660 W 17 98070 G 03/02-18 38 0 50 30 W 8 1 5030 W 17 74464 G 03/02-19 38 0 45 37 W 7 1 3400 W 17 50859 F 03/02-20 38 0 42 41 SW 7 7 2 1 W30 1770 W 17 27254 P 03/02-21 38 0 40 45 SW 7 1 1589 W 17 24262 P 03/02-22 38 0 39 47 SW 7 1 1408 W 17 21270 P 03/02-23 45 0 39 47 SW 7 7 2 1 W39 1228 W 17 18278 P 03/03-00 45 0 37 50 SW 7 1 1082 W 18 16746 P 03/03-01 45 0 37 49 SW 8 1 937 W 18 15213 P 03/03-02 45 0 37 50 SW 9 15 2 1 W36 791 W 20 13681 P 03/03-03 45 0 37 50 W 12 1 623 W 21 10936 P 03/03-04 45 0 36 52 W 15 1 455 W 21 8192 P 03/03-05 23 0 35 53 W 17 28 3 1 W43 235 W 18 3737 P 03/03-06 23 0 35 53 W 18 1 379 W 20 7020 P 03/03-07 23 0 38 48 W 18 1 522 W 22 10303 P 03/03-08 38 0 42 42 W 17 28 3 1 W41 666 W 23 13586 P 03/03-09 38 0 47 35 W 16 1 3033 W 25 74782 G 03/03-10 38 0 51 30 W 14 1 5399 W 28 135978 V 03/03-11 39 16 55 26 W 13 21 2 1 W33 7766 W 29 197174 E 03/03-12 39 16 58 23 W 13 1 9155 W 30 237244 E 03/03-13 39 16 60 22 W 13 1 10544 W 30 277314 E 03/03-14 53 16 61 21 W 13 21 2 1 W28 11934 W 31 317384 E 03/03-15 53 16 60 21 W 12 1 10495 W 29 263215 E 03/03-16 53 16 58 22 NW 9 1 9057 W 25 209046 E 03/03-17 57 34 54 25 NW 8 13 2 1 W26 7619 W 23 154876 E 03/03-18 57 34 51 30 NW 7 1 6245 W 17 109488 V 03/03-19 57 34 47 38 NW 6 1 4871 W 12 64100 G 03/03-20 57 34 43 46 NW 5 5 2 1 W24 3496 W 6 18712 P 03/03-21 61 57 39 50 W 5 1 3325 NW 5 14378 P 03/03-22 61 57 37 52 W 5 1 3154 NE 3 10044 P 03/03-23 61 57 35 52 W 5 5 2 1 W21 2983 NE 2 5710 P 03/04-00 71 57 33 54 W 5 1 2265 N 3 4917 P 03/04-01 71 57 32 55 W 3 1 1547 W 3 4124 P 03/04-02 71 57 31 57 W 3 3 2 1 W28 830 W 5 3331 P 03/04-03 83 57 31 59 W 3 1 746 W 5 2926 P 03/04-04 83 57 31 60 W 3 1 661 W 5 2520 P 03/04-05 83 57 31 61 W 3 3 2 1 NW16 577 NW 5 2115 P 03/04-06 88 43 32 62 NW 3 1 1256 NW 6 6820 P 03/04-07 88 43 31 67 NE 3 1 1936 NW 6 11525 P 03/04-08 87 43 33 64 E 3 3 2 1 NW 9 2615 N 7 16230 P 03/04-09 87 43 36 58 E 5 1 3410 N 8 25360 P 03/04-10 87 43 38 53 E 6 1 4206 NW 9 34489 P 03/04-11 87 52 40 49 E 7 7 2 1 NW12 5001 NW 10 43618 F 03/04-12 87 52 42 46 E 7 1 5240 NW 10 47409 F 03/04-13 87 52 43 44 E 6 1 5479 NW 10 51200 F 03/04-14 87 52 43 43 E 6 6 2 1 NW14 5718 NW 12 54991 F 03/04-15 87 52 43 43 NE 6 1 5195 N 12 50354 F 03/04-16 87 52 41 44 NE 6 1 4672 N 12 45717 F 03/04-17 65 23 38 48 NE 6 6 2 1 NW18 4150 N 12 41080 F 03/04-18 65 23 36 51 N 6 1 2915 N 10 28525 P 03/04-19 65 23 33 55 NW 6 1 1680 NW 9 15970 P 03/04-20 58 23 30 61 W 7 7 2 1 NW15 445 NW 9 3416 P 03/04-21 58 23 28 65 W 9 1 377 NW 10 3120 P 03/04-22 58 23 26 69 W 10 1 310 W 12 2824 P 03/04-23 49 8 25 70 W 13 21 2 1 NW18 242 W 12 2528 P 03/05-00 49 8 24 71 W 14 1 229 W 13 2498 P 03/05-01 49 8 23 69 W 14 1 216 W 13 2467 P 03/05-02 39 8 22 66 W 14 22 2 1 NW23 203 W 14 2437 P 03/05-03 39 8 22 64 W 14 1 198 W 13 2241 P 03/05-04 39 8 22 60 W 14 1 192 W 13 2045 P 03/05-05 32 5 22 57 W 13 21 2 1 N20 187 W 12 1848 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BEVERIDGE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110302.LOWER.03/BOU