FNUS73 KJKL 012138
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW CREEK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
438 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE HEAVY RAIN THIS PAST COUPLE DAYS HAS BROUGHT MOST
OF THE AREA RIVERS TO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE BANK FULL. THE CREST ON THE
RIVERS HAS OR SOON WILL BE REACHED AND ALL RIVERS SHOULD START GOING
DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RUN OFF WILL DIMINISH AND THE
GROUND WILL START DRYING OUT WITH DRY WEATHER FORECAST UNTIL LATE
FRIDAY. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 50S ON WED... AROUND 60 ON THU
AND THE LOWER 60S BY FRI.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........12     15     20     21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     57     59     55
RH..............52     41     37     46
20 FT WIND......W 3    NW 3   N 5    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             5
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 0 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST TOWARDS
                    DAWN.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 0 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST TOWARDS
                    DAWN.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........19     14     8      3      6      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     46     43     40     38     36
RH..............53     64     72     79     82     83
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 1    N 1    NW 2   N 1    NW 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE EARLY EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....86.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........4      3      11     36     42     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     41     50     57     61     60
RH..............86     71     52     41     37     40
20 FT WIND......W 0    S 2    SE 3   S 5    S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5             10     5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...DUSTY
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110302.CROWC.01/JKL