FNUS73 KJKL 021122
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
622 AM EST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY.
IT WILL BE WEAK AND THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE MOISTURE IN THE AIR AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...SO ITS ONLY IMPACT WILL BE TO BRING A WIND
SHIFT AND SLOW DOWN A WARM-UP. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AT
LEAST UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY. WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF
THE SOUTH AT THAT TIME AND BEGIN TO CARRY IN MOISTURE FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO...PROVIDING A POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 5 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........2      2      3      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     55     57     53
RH..............53     43     39     46
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 4    N 4    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7      7      6      5
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28 IN VALLEYS TO 33 ON RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT ON RIDGES TO 95 PERCENT IN VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........NEAR CALM.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH LESS THAN 5 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NEAR
                    CALM.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........3      3      3      4      4      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     44     41     39     36     33
RH..............57     65     73     77     84     89
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 1    NW 1   NW 1   W 1    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...HAL
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110302.CROWC.01/JKL