FNUS74 KOUN 021312
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS CHIC ERC BURN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
712 AM CST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.  A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA...WILL STALL ACROSS CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE BEFORE
LIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  SOME RAIN IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT.  GUSTY NORTH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY.  CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR WILDFIRES MAY DEVELOP
ON TUESDAY...AHEAD OF ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     68     71     71     70     60
RH..............47     32     28     28     30     41
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 7   SE 8   SE 8   SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   3900   4900   5000   4100   1500
MIX HGT (M).....520    1190   1490   1520   1250   460
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10   S 10   SE 10  SE 13  SE 15  SE 10
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4    S 4    SE 4   SE 6   SE 7   SE 4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...THOREN
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110302.NPSCH.01/OUN