FNUS74 KOUN 022258
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS CHIC ERC BURN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
458 PM CST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1720 CST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COUPLE OF STRONG STORM SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THE FIRST WILL BRING INCREASED WINDS
TO THE REGION FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... AND THE SECOND WILL
DO THE SAME FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL SLIGHTLY MITIGATE WILDFIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT BY TUESDAY... MUCH DRIER AIR AND RATHER STRONG WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER MOST OF NORTH TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. IF THE CURRENT
FORECAST HOLDS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED WITHIN A FEW DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     64     56     52     49     47
RH..............28     37     47     52     58     63
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 6   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15                          10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4700   2500   500    200    300    300
MIX HGT (M).....1430   760    150    60     90     90
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  SE 13  SE 13  SE 10  SE 9   SE 9
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 20 TO
                    26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GALLANT
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110302.NPSCH.02/OUN