FNUS73 KPAH 021329
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROWLEYS RIDGE CA...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
729 AM CST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 02.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE REGIONS WEATHER THROUGH
THURSDAY. AS A RESULT...ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...DRY CONDITIONS...AND
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE BY FRIDAY AS WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM. THE APPROACH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN OUR NEXT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BEGINNING FRIDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN
WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM. DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL
RETURN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    2000-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  54  56  58  59  58  56
RH..............48  45  41  38  39  45  51
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.4 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  12  10  10  12
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...PRESLEY
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOWYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110302.CROWL.01/PAH