FNUS72 KTAE 021007
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 28...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
507 AM EST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A DRIER AIRMASS WILL DESCEND OVER THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND COMBINE WITH STRONG TRANSPORT WINDS TO PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA. THE
AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND
PUTTING AN END TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.

NOTE...BEGINNING THURSDAY MARCH 3RD...A FUEL MOISTURE COMPONENT WILL
BE ADDED TO THIS STATE'S RED FLAG CRITERIA WHICH SHOULD DRASTICALLY
REDUCE THE NUMBER OF RED FLAG WARNINGS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.
DETAILS ON THE CHANGE CAN BE FOUND IN A HEADLINE AT THE TOP OF OUR
WEB PAGE. HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-10 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BECOMING EAST 7 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 11 TO
                    14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSION....82.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     68     70     73     73     67
RH..............57     43     38     31     34     45
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 8   E 9    E 11   E 10   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 11 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
MAX LVORI...........5.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....95.

$$

FORECASTER GODSEY
REQUESTED BY...MORGAN WILBUR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110302.UNIT2.01/TAE