FNUS75 KBOU 030019 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN RIDGE PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 515 PM MST WED MAR 2 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING BEFORE TURNING TO ALL SNOW BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES BY THURSDAY EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2300. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....23. MAX HUMIDITY........71%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1000-1800 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 0100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-35. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18. MAX HUMIDITY........73%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2400. POOR AFTER 0200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREEN RIDGE PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/02-17 70 20 42 37 W 15 24 2 1 W46 5503 W 39 189200 E 03/02-18 70 20 39 42 W 16 1 5014 W 39 169799 E 03/02-19 70 20 36 49 W 17 1 4524 W 38 150397 E 03/02-20 70 20 33 56 W 17 28 2 1 W29 4035 W 37 130996 V 03/02-21 70 20 31 63 W 17 1 3391 W 33 102940 V 03/02-22 70 20 29 67 W 18 1 2746 W 30 74883 G 03/02-23 71 24 28 70 W 17 28 2 1 W41 2102 W 25 46827 F 03/03-00 71 24 26 71 W 16 1 1849 W 23 37724 P 03/03-01 71 24 25 69 W 14 1 1596 W 20 28622 P 03/03-02 71 24 25 66 W 12 18 2 1 W41 1344 W 17 19520 P 03/03-03 71 24 24 63 W 9 1 1252 W 16 17225 P 03/03-04 71 24 24 58 W 7 1 1160 W 15 14931 P 03/03-05 75 21 24 54 W 6 6 2 1 W38 1068 W 14 12636 P 03/03-06 75 21 25 50 W 6 1 1567 W 15 22763 P 03/03-07 75 21 26 46 W 8 1 2066 W 17 32890 P 03/03-08 72 21 28 41 W 9 15 2 1 W40 2566 W 20 43018 F 03/03-09 72 21 32 40 W 10 1 3539 W 22 71968 G 03/03-10 72 21 35 40 W 12 1 4513 W 24 100918 V 03/03-11 70 40 37 41 W 13 21 2 1 W41 5487 W 28 129869 V 03/03-12 70 40 39 41 W 13 1 6096 W 26 140999 V 03/03-13 70 40 41 40 W 13 1 6706 W 26 152129 E 03/03-14 88 40 41 40 W 13 21 2 1 W40 7315 W 25 163260 E 03/03-15 88 40 41 41 W 12 1 6923 W 23 140244 V 03/03-16 88 40 39 42 W 10 1 6531 W 21 117227 V 03/03-17 89 56 36 46 NW 9 15 2 1 W37 6138 W 17 94211 G 03/03-18 89 56 36 46 W 8 1 5839 W 17 87532 G 03/03-19 89 56 34 48 W 8 1 5541 W 17 80853 G 03/03-20 89 56 30 55 W 7 7 2 1 W33 5242 W 16 74174 G 03/03-21 90 56 28 58 W 7 1 5085 W 16 69808 G 03/03-22 90 56 30 53 W 8 1 4928 W 15 65442 G 03/03-23 90 56 27 59 W 8 8 2 1 W24 4771 W 15 61075 G 03/04-00 90 56 27 56 W 8 1 4306 W 14 52097 F 03/04-01 90 56 24 58 W 7 1 3842 W 13 43119 F 03/04-02 90 56 22 61 W 7 7 2 1 NW17 3378 W 12 34140 P 03/04-03 89 56 20 65 W 7 1 3113 W 10 29167 P 03/04-04 89 56 20 66 W 7 1 2849 W 9 24195 P 03/04-05 89 56 18 73 W 7 7 2 1 NW18 2585 W 8 19222 P 03/04-06 91 56 18 71 W 6 1 2464 W 8 18008 P 03/04-07 91 56 18 66 W 6 1 2342 W 8 16794 P 03/04-08 88 56 18 63 W 6 6 2 1 NW16 2221 W 8 15579 P 03/04-09 88 56 20 56 W 7 1 3744 W 10 38425 P 03/04-10 88 56 27 43 W 9 1 5267 W 13 61270 G 03/04-11 87 34 31 37 W 10 10 2 1 W17 6789 W 14 84116 G 03/04-12 87 34 34 32 W 12 1 8163 W 15 112698 V 03/04-13 87 34 36 31 W 12 1 9537 W 17 141281 V 03/04-14 87 34 38 29 W 12 16 2 1 W24 10911 W 18 169864 E 03/04-15 87 34 38 32 W 12 1 10028 W 18 156025 E 03/04-16 87 34 37 38 W 12 1 9145 W 18 142185 V 03/04-17 72 22 35 42 NW 10 10 2 1 W23 8262 W 18 128345 V 03/04-18 72 22 30 49 NW 8 1 7160 W 20 117992 V 03/04-19 72 22 28 49 W 6 1 6058 NW 21 107638 V 03/04-20 65 22 23 55 W 5 5 2 1 W16 4957 NW 23 97284 G 03/04-21 65 22 21 58 NW 6 1 4593 NW 22 87332 G 03/04-22 65 22 23 51 NW 8 1 4230 NW 21 77381 G 03/04-23 57 10 19 57 NW 9 9 2 1 W22 3866 NW 20 67429 G 03/05-00 57 10 18 56 NW 9 1 2747 NW 16 46162 F 03/05-01 57 10 15 59 W 9 1 1628 W 13 24895 P 03/05-02 50 10 12 63 W 8 8 2 1 NW18 509 W 8 3628 P 03/05-03 50 10 11 64 W 7 1 450 W 7 2960 P 03/05-04 50 10 11 60 W 6 1 392 W 7 2292 P 03/05-05 49 6 8 67 W 5 5 2 1 N23 334 W 6 1624 P 03/05-06 49 6 8 72 W 5 1 321 W 6 1665 P 03/05-07 49 6 8 77 W 7 1 309 W 7 1707 P 03/05-08 51 6 8 84 W 8 8 3 1 NW28 296 W 7 1749 P 03/05-09 51 6 11 78 W 9 1 2053 W 10 26568 P 03/05-10 51 6 22 55 W 12 1 3809 W 13 51387 F 03/05-11 51 6 28 45 W 13 17 4 1 W26 5566 W 16 76205 G 03/05-12 51 6 34 38 W 14 1 6844 W 18 116063 V 03/05-13 51 6 37 34 W 14 1 8122 W 21 155921 E 03/05-14 51 6 40 30 W 13 18 2 1 W38 9400 W 24 195778 E 03/05-15 51 6 41 30 W 13 1 9065 W 25 196343 E 03/05-16 51 6 39 32 W 12 1 8730 W 26 196908 E 03/05-17 49 13 38 34 W 12 16 2 1 W45 8395 W 28 197473 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINTIER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110303.GREEN.01/BOU