FNUS73 KJKL 022141
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
441 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER
THROUGH THURSDAY AND MUCH OF THURSDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES TO THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. A THERMAL BELT PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT
WITH BETTER HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS COMPARED
TO THE RIDGETOPS. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE ANTICIAPTED ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH ON THURSDAY WITH WINDS GRADUALLY SHIFTING
FROM EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 27 VALLEY...33 RIDGE.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 95 PERCENT VALLEY...75 PERCENT RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........3      3      3      10     11     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     44     40     37     33     31
RH..............52     66     78     87     89     90
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    NE 3   NE 3   NE 3   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........42-46 AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 63.
HUMIDITY............55-65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH AROUND NOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 7 MPH AROUND 1500.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST 7 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND NOON...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND 1500.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 7 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND NOON...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND 1500.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 15 MPH AROUND NOON...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH AROUND 1500.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........16     18     23     34     37     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............31     38     49     57     61     61
RH..............95     76     50     36     32     34
20 FT WIND......NE 2   E 3    E 5    SE 6   S 7    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...PELTON
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110303.CROWC.01/JKL