FNUS73 KJKL 022213
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAIGHT CREEK...USFS DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
513 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER
THROUGH THURSDAY AND MUCH OF THURSDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES TO THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. A THERMAL BELT PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT
WITH BETTER HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS COMPARED
TO THE RIDGETOPS. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH ON THURSDAY WITH WINDS GRADUALLY SHIFTING
FROM EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 26 VALLEY...32 RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT VALLEY...78 PERCENT
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........3      3      3      10     11     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     44     40     36     34     32
RH..............55     71     85     95     98     100
20 FT WIND......N 7    NE 6   NE 5   NE 4   NE 3   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........45-49 AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 64.
HUMIDITY............54-60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN AROUND 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND NOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH AROUND 1500.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 7 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND NOON...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND 1500.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX
                    4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 15 MPH AROUND NOON...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH AROUND 1500.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........16     18     23     35     39     42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     38     48     59     63     62
RH..............100    83     53     36     32     34
20 FT WIND......NE 2   E 3    E 3    SE 5   S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5             10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...PELTON
REQUESTED BY...ALISON COONS - SZFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110303.STRAI.01/JKL