FNUS73 KPAH 031553 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OGDEN PILE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 953 AM CST THU MAR 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON MARCH 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ONE MORE DRY DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE HEARTLAND AS HIGH PRESSURE MIGRATES TOWARDS THE EASTERN SEABOARD. AS A RESULT...SUNSHINE WILL BE FILTERED TODAY AS MORE HIGH CLOUDS SPREAD INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... BEGINNING AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM. DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH FILTERED SUN (55-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1800-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 51 54 57 60 62 62 61 60 RH..............54 50 45 42 39 36 38 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 9 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.0 2.3 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 17 18 18 20 20 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 55 53 52 50 49 RH..............45 57 64 71 83 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....400 100 100 200 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 17 S 14 S 9 S 13 S 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................79 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....OCNL OCNL OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............49 53 58 60 RH..............89 80 75 72 20 FT WIND......S 7G15 S 10G25 S 10G25 S 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 2300 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 S 24 S 28 S 26 CWR.............80 80 80 80 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110303.OGDEN.01/PAH