FNUS73 KPAH 022317
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TORNADO WEST 1-2...U S FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
517 PM CST WED MAR 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 03.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR BURN TIME. SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY
BE PRESENT...SIGNALING THE BEGINNING OF MORE CLOUDS ON THE HORIZON
...WHICH WILL BE THICKENING AND LOWERING...AS RAIN CHANCES COME IN
FOR THE WEEKEND.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400-3200
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............38        48        60        65
RH..............92        68        47        43
20 FT WIND......E 3G5     E 4G5     S 6G10    S 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1400      1600      2200      3800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 20      SE 20     S 21      S 24
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...TIM PERREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110303.TORNA.01/PAH