FNUS73 KSGF 031106 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER WIRE ROAD...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 506 AM CST THU MAR 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPDATED 505 AM LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER THE REGION TODAY WITH A FEW MODERATELY STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE IN EXPOSED TERRAIN. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 30 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........GRADUAL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 64 69 66 RH..............44 35 29 34 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 8 S 9 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2800 3700 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 20 S 22 S 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 49. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 59 56 55 53 52 RH..............39 49 56 61 66 71 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1500 600 700 600 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 28 S 30 S 31 S 31 S 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 67. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 53 58 62 64 64 RH..............76 80 73 64 61 63 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 7 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....700 500 1500 3200 3900 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 31 S 31 S 31 S 28 S 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALBERT REQUESTED BY...GREG CASSELL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110303.LOWER.01/SGF