FNUS72 KTAE 031458
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR FCV- 4B  5  6...FPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
958 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 CST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW ENOUGH THIS AFTERNOON
TO CAUSE RED FLAG CONCERNS...IN CONJUNCTION WITH HIGH DISPERSION VALUES.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR ABOUT 5 HOURS
THIS AFTERNOON. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE VERY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON...
NEAR 90...DROPPING OFF TO NEAR 70 TOMORROW. THE CAUSE OF THESE HIGH
DISPERSIONS IS STRONG WINDS WHICH ARE EXPECTED AT THIS LOCATION BOTH
THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY
HIGH...AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE ESPECIALLY HIGH BOTH AFTERNOONS...
DROPPING OFF A BIT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL MOISTEN TOMORROW AHEAD OF THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM WHICH WILL NOT IMPACT THE REGION UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
RAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THIS LOCATION DURING THIS
FORECAST TIME FRAME.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING EAST SOUTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST 16 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION..........89.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
TEMP............63     70     75     78     72     67
RH..............58     42     32     29     36     47
20 FT WIND......E 14   E 15   E 14   ESE 13 ESE 10 ESE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     15     15

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING EAST LATE.
DISPERSION..........12.

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 10 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 18
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........69.

$$

FORECASTER...MBARRY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HAWTHORNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110303.FCV4B.01/TAE