FNUS72 KJAX 041911
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVENPORT...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
211 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1420 EST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BRISK EASTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ANCHORED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
STATES WILL MAINTAIN EASTERLY FLOW SATURDAY AT 10-15 MPH.

PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE TOWARD DAWN...BUT SOME SURFACE WIND
AND POTENTIAL FOR HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS LATE TONIGHT SHOULD PRECLUDE
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL FURTHER MOISTEN THIS WEEKEND WITH A COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
IN RESPONSE...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........65     61     64     64     67     74
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     64     62     60     58     57
RH..............52     66     74     78     82     86
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 9    E 8    E 7    E 6    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4900   1800   1100   1100   400    500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 22   E 21   E 15   E 15   E 9    E 12
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........74     82     78     78     74     75
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............56     58     68     74     77     76
RH..............89     86     67     54     49     49
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 7    E 9    SE 13  SE 13  SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....500    700    2600   2600   4900   4600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12   E 16   SE 18  SE 18  SE 20  SE 18
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...WOLF
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110304.DAVEN.01/JAX