FNUS72 KJAX 041159
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLER...FL DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
659 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0655 EST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BRISK EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS LARGE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM BECOMES ANCHORED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND STATES. THIS FLOW
REGIME WILL MAINTAIN RH VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.  SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 30 MPH
AT TIMES. BANDS OF MODERATE RAIN OVER THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS WILL
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE INLAND THEN WEAKEN.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL FURTHER MOISTEN THIS WEEKEND WITH A COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE FIRE WEATHER REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND INTO SUNDAY. IN RESPONSE...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND.
SOUTHEAST WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL LIKELY SUSTAIN BELOW 15 MPH...EXCEPT
FOR LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST. MAINLY LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING...WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
QUICKLY ESTABLISHING BEHIND THE FRONT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 17 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........74     73     73     73     72     68
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............58     62     67     70     70     70
RH..............84     80     68     59     56     58
20 FT WIND......E 13   E 16   E 18   E 21   E 21   E 18
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     30     30     30     25
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   2000   3100   4100   4100   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 18   E 18   E 24   E 25   E 25   E 24
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........68     64     65     65     66     73
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     64     62     61     60     59
RH..............61     70     75     77     80     82
20 FT WIND......E 16   E 14   E 14   E 13   E 12   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   2000   1200   1200   600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 24   E 23   E 20   E 20   E 16   E 17
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLF
REQUESTED BY...SEAN LUCHS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110304.KELLE.01/JAX