FNUS72 KJAX 042110
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLER...FL DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
410 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1558 EST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS LARGE
HIGH PRESSUER REMAINS ANCHORED OFF THE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THIS
FLOW REGIME WILL MAINTAIN RH VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL FURTHER MOISTEN THIS WEEKEND WITH A COLD FRONT FORECAST TO ADVANCE
ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.

AFTER THE FRONT PASSES...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY...USHERING
IN DRIER AIR. CONDITIONS COULD APPROACH RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS
INTERIOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........65     65     66     66     66     73
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     63     62     60     59     58
RH..............61     71     76     78     81     84
20 FT WIND......E 16   E 14   E 14   E 13   E 12   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   2000   1200   1200   600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 24   E 23   E 20   E 20   E 16   E 17
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION INDX.66     44     28     18     14     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........73     79     76     76     74     74
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............58     60     66     71     72     72
RH..............86     85     71     62     60     60
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 13   SE 14  SE 15  SE 15  SE 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....600    700    2000   2000   3600   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 17   E 21   SE 21  SE 21  SE 21  SE 21
DISPERSION INDX.15     19     28     40     55     52
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...SEAN LUCHS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110304.KELLE.02/JAX