FNUS73 KSGF 041520
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEWEY SHORT...USACE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
920 AM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFERNOON WHILE MOISTURE LEVELS
GRADUALLY  INCERASE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION. A FEW STORMS MAY
CONTAIN STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. BRISK AND GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT WITH MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS
THEN EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2300 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............62     68     68     67
RH..............60     51     50     52
20 FT WIND......SE 7   S 10   S 9    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     20     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   2500   2200   1800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 26   S 30   S 29   SW 28
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     40     40
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...FOSTER
REQUESTED BY...TIM PETERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110304.DEWEY.01/SGF