FNUS72 KMHX 051223 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR SEABORN ROAD...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 723 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY AND MOVE THROUGH BY EARLY MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION FROM THE NORTH LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH MID MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE. STRONG INVERSION EARLY WILL BURNOFF BY 10 AM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............70 68 61 66 69 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP................53 61 65 66 64 RH..................77 62 52 52 63 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 7 SE 10 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 74 78 82 84 88 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................62 59 57 56 55 55 RH..................67 72 80 86 90 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 9 SE 9 SE 12 SE 14 SE 12 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 20 15 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 37 TO 40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............92 90 94 98 99 97 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................54 59 61 63 64 63 RH..................96 90 84 78 75 75 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 10 S 14 S 16 S 18 S 17 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 25 30 30 25 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110305.SEABO.01/MHX