FNUS72 KMLB 061053
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONHORSE COMMAND...FLORIDA DIV. OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
553 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0524 EST ON MARCH 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL BE PRECEDED BY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STORMS THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THREATS FROM HEAVIER CELLS
INCLUDE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS
(OF VARIABLE DIRECTION) AND BRIEF DOWNPOURS. EARLY MORNING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE BURN AREA BY EARLY EVENING
SWITCHING WINDS TO WESTERLY...THEN MORE NORTHWEST LATER IN THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.

THE BAND OF PRE-FRONTAL SHOWERS WAS MOVING ON THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST JUST BEFORE 6 AM. AS LONG AS THIS LINE HOLDS TOGETHER IT SHOULD
APPROACH THE WILDFIRE AROUND MID MORNING TO PERHAPS JUST A LITTLE LATER.
BEST GUESS PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL RUN BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE
HALF INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

FEEL FREE TO CONTACT THE OFFICE FOR UPDATES SURROUNDING CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE WEST IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3500
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE
                    MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC NUM NUM NUM NUM CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............64  64  67  70  73  74  75  76  77  77  77  74
RH..............83  84  78  73  69  66  64  61  59  59  59  64
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4   6   10  11  12  12  12  12  12  11  11  11
20 FT WIND GUST.5   8   12  14  15  15  15  15  15  14  14  13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FALLING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH BECOMING NORTH TOWARDS
                    DAYBREAK.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............6.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110306.IRONH.01/MLB