FNUS75 KBOU 062031 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTON ROCK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 131 PM MST SUN MAR 6 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SNOW TONIGHT THOUGH TUESDAY. ONE FORECAST MODEL IS INDICATING 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW FOR TONIGHT WHILE THE OTHER MODELS KEEP THE AREA DRY. WILL LIKELY SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT BUT EXPECT SNOW AMOUNTS TO STAY LESS THAN 2 INCHES TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL CONTINUE MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL BE 1700 MONDAY THROUGH 0500 TUESDAY. ANOTHER 2-4 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.25% 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTH 4-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 0-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1500...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.35% 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF SNOW. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.75% MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-19. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-31. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.75% 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BUTTON ROCK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/06-13 89 19 41 44 S 8 1 6003 W 18 95577 G 03/06-14 89 19 41 44 SE 8 13 2 1 W31 6526 SW 18 102695 V 03/06-15 89 19 41 45 SE 7 1 6032 SW 17 90753 G 03/06-16 89 19 40 49 SE 6 1 5537 W 16 78810 G 03/06-17 95 40 37 55 SE 5 5 2 1 W31 5042 W 15 66867 G 03/06-18 95 40 35 62 E 5 1 4143 W 14 51114 F 03/06-19 95 40 33 71 E 5 1 3245 SW 12 35361 P 03/06-20 95 40 30 82 E 5 5 2 1 W29 2346 SW 9 19608 P 03/06-21 95 40 28 91 E 5 1 1762 SW 8 13738 P 03/06-22 95 40 27 98 E 3 1 1177 SW 6 7868 P 03/06-23 96 40 26 100 E 3 3 2 1 W22 593 SW 3 1998 P 03/07-00 96 40 24 100 E 3 1 531 W 3 1457 P 03/07-01 96 40 24 100 E 5 1 470 NW 2 916 P 03/07-02 96 40 23 100 NE 5 5 2 1 W24 408 CALM 376 P 03/07-03 96 40 23 100 NE 5 1 439 NW 3 1219 P 03/07-04 96 40 23 99 NW 6 1 470 NW 5 2063 P 03/07-05 92 41 23 97 NW 6 6 2 1 W30 500 NW 7 2907 P 03/07-06 92 41 23 95 NW 6 1 927 W 7 6542 P 03/07-07 92 41 23 96 N 5 1 1354 W 8 10177 P 03/07-08 92 41 25 92 NE 3 3 2 1 W26 1781 W 9 13812 P 03/07-09 92 41 24 100 NE 3 1 1699 W 8 11114 P 03/07-10 92 41 26 90 E 5 1 1998 W 8 13249 P 03/07-11 94 51 28 78 SE 6 6 2 1 W21 2297 W 8 15384 P 03/07-12 94 51 30 70 SE 6 1 2529 W 8 19033 P 03/07-13 94 51 31 66 SE 7 1 2762 SW 9 22682 P 03/07-14 94 51 32 64 E 7 7 2 1 W24 2994 SW 10 26330 P 03/07-15 94 51 32 65 E 7 1 3034 SW 9 25082 P 03/07-16 94 51 32 68 E 8 1 3074 SW 9 23834 P 03/07-17 99 74 31 72 E 8 13 2 1 W23 3114 SW 8 22585 P 03/07-18 99 74 29 78 E 8 1 2796 S 8 20259 P 03/07-19 99 74 25 87 E 8 1 2478 S 8 17933 P 03/07-20 99 74 23 94 E 8 13 2 1 SW21 2160 S 8 15608 P 03/07-21 99 74 21 96 E 8 1 2102 S 10 19067 P 03/07-22 99 74 20 97 E 7 1 2044 S 13 22526 P 03/07-23 100 80 18 96 E 7 7 2 1 S18 1986 S 15 25984 P 03/08-00 100 80 18 96 SE 7 1 1796 S 14 21991 P 03/08-01 100 80 17 96 SE 6 1 1606 S 13 17997 P 03/08-02 100 80 16 95 SE 6 6 2 1 W17 1416 S 12 14003 P 03/08-03 100 80 16 93 SE 6 1 1394 S 9 11445 P 03/08-04 100 80 15 91 E 5 1 1371 SW 7 8888 P 03/08-05 100 60 15 90 E 5 5 2 1 NW23 1348 SW 6 6330 P 03/08-06 100 60 15 93 E 5 1 1451 W 6 6901 P 03/08-07 100 60 15 95 NE 6 1 1553 W 6 7472 P 03/08-08 100 60 16 94 NE 6 6 2 1 NW24 1655 NW 6 8043 P 03/08-09 100 60 18 84 NE 6 1 2083 NW 8 16479 P 03/08-10 100 60 21 72 NE 7 1 2511 NW 10 24915 P 03/08-11 92 52 24 63 NE 7 7 2 1 NW24 2939 NW 13 33351 P 03/08-12 92 52 25 58 NE 7 1 2975 NW 16 42647 F 03/08-13 92 52 26 57 NE 7 1 3012 NW 20 51943 F 03/08-14 92 52 27 57 NE 7 7 2 1 NW33 3049 NW 23 61238 G 03/08-15 83 52 27 59 NE 7 1 2620 NW 23 51954 F 03/08-16 83 52 26 61 N 7 1 2191 NW 22 42670 F 03/08-17 83 11 26 65 N 7 7 2 1 NW28 1762 NW 22 33386 P 03/08-18 83 11 24 67 N 8 1 1327 NW 21 24583 P 03/08-19 69 11 22 70 NW 8 1 891 NW 20 15779 P 03/08-20 69 6 21 72 NW 9 15 2 1 NW20 456 NW 17 6976 P 03/08-21 69 6 20 72 NW 10 1 405 NW 17 6193 P 03/08-22 69 6 20 71 W 10 1 354 W 17 5410 P 03/08-23 43 3 19 71 W 12 18 2 1 NW16 303 W 17 4627 P 03/09-00 42 3 19 70 W 13 1 368 W 20 6414 P 03/09-01 41 3 19 70 W 13 1 433 W 21 8200 P 03/09-02 41 3 18 71 W 14 21 2 1 NW23 498 W 23 9987 P 03/09-03 40 3 18 72 W 14 1 503 W 23 10289 P 03/09-04 39 3 18 73 W 14 1 507 W 24 10592 P 03/09-05 38 2 18 75 W 14 22 2 1 NW40 511 W 24 10894 P 03/09-06 37 2 18 76 W 14 1 03/09-07 36 2 18 77 W 13 1 03/09-08 36 2 20 75 W 13 20 1 03/09-09 35 2 23 69 W 12 1 03/09-10 34 2 27 59 W 12 1 03/09-11 33 2 31 51 W 10 16 1 03/09-12 34 2 34 46 W 10 1 03/09-13 36 2 36 43 W 9 1 03/09-14 37 2 38 41 W 9 15 1 03/09-15 38 2 38 40 W 9 1 03/09-16 40 2 37 41 W 9 1 03/09-17 41 0 36 43 W 9 15 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JOHN WEAVER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110307.BUTTO.01/BOU