FNUS73 KDVN 071454
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR IA-PLR PILES...PORT LOUISA NATIONAL WILDLIFEREFUGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
854 AM CST MON MAR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDY SKIES AND A SOUTHEAST BREEZE WILL BE PREVALENT TODAY
AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING WEATHER DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND WESTERN IOWA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S.
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH JUST A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME
SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES. A LARGE LOW PRESSURE STORM SYSTEM WILL
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT...AND START TO SPREAD RAIN
UP ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 43.
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9
                    MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST AFTER 5 PM CST.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     40     42     42
RH..............72     67     62     65
EYE LEVEL WIND..140/7  140/9  130/8  120/7
EYE LEVEL GUST..10     14     10     9
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-NONE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 11 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2-A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2800 FT AGL DURING THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 18
                    TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...JDH
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT AFFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110307.IAPLR.01/DVN