FNUS74 KLZK 071235 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR PHASE III RESEARCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 635 AM CST MON MAR 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0650 CST ON MARCH 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY...AS SOUTHEAST WINDS BRING MOISTURE SLOWLY BACK TO THE STATE. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE STATE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE STATE FROM THE WEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY...AND WILL INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT...BRINGING DRY WEATHER FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................94 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............35 38 41 45 48 51 53 55 56 56 56 55 RH..............94 91 83 74 66 59 54 51 48 48 50 53 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.3 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............54 52 50 49 48 48 RH..............53 59 64 69 74 77 20 FT WIND......E 10 E 9 E 8 E 7 E 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.8 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 18 16 16 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............47 52 59 61 RH..............84 80 73 72 20 FT WIND......E 8G10 SE 10G15 SE 12G15 SE 12G15 EYE LVL WND DIR.E SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 25 30 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110307.PHASE.01/LZK