FNUS72 KMLB 072147
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONHORSE COMMAND...FLORIDA DIV. OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
447 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1620 EST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT WINDS WHICH HAVE BEEN GUSTING TO AROUND 15 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON TO DECREASE TO ABOUT 5-6 MPH AND REMAIN BETWEEN NNE
AND NE (FROM 010-040) OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE STRONG PRESS GRADIENT...
THE SURFACE BASED TEMPERATURE INVERSION SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG
TONIGHT AS IT WAS THIS MORNING. THIS SHOULD KEEP SMOKE FROM SETTLING
AND BECOMING AS DENSE NEAR I-95 AND S.R. 46, AND IS WHY TONIGHT'S
LVORI IS ONLY A 5. THE "LOCALLY DENSE SMOKE BETWEEN 3 AND 7 AM"
SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF SMOLDERING SPOTS.

WE HAVE THE LATEST HYSPLIT PARCEL/TRAJECTORY RUNS AVAILABLE AT THE
OFFICE AND THEY CONTINUE TO BE RUN EVERY 3 HOURS FOR THE BURN SITE.
IF YOU PROVIDE AN E-MAIL, I CAN SEND YOU THE LATEST HYSPLIT RUN. IT
CAN BE EITHER AN ANIMATED .GIF FILE OR A .KML FILE THAT CAN BE
DISPLAYED IN GOOGLE EARTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. LOCALLY DENSE SMOKE BETWEEN
                    3 AM AND 7 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NNE TO NE WINDS DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............5.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 53 BY AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110307.IRONH.02/MLB