FNUS72 KTAE 070741
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
241 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...AS A DRIER AIR MASS CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE
REGION WE WILL SEE UP TO FOUR TO FIVE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLE. HOWEVER THE ENERGY RELEASE
COMPONENT (ERC) VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 30 SO NO FIRE
WEATHER STATEMENTS OR RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

PLEASE NOTE THAT OBSERVED AND FORECAST ERC VALUES WILL NOT BECOME
AVAILABLE UNTIL AROUND 430 PM EST EACH DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT)
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EAST WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........AROUND 20.


TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........26     31     36     36     30
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     51     59     61     61
RH..............59     45     33     32     35
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 3   E 3    E 3    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION..........AROUND 2.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........30     25     27     27     29     35
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     52     47     45     45     44
RH..............40     57     71     75     75     77
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........35     41     49     49     58     64
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     46     54     66     68     69
RH..............80     81     68     49     50     52
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 4    E 5    SE 6   SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
DISPERSION......AROUND 58.

$$
FORECASTER...RON BLOCK
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE HOLLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110307.JACKS.01/TAE