FNUS75 KBOU 072127 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LILY LAKE PILE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 227 PM MST MON MAR 7 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM EARLY THIS EVENING. ON AND OFF SNOW WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND COME TO AN END MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT A WARMING AND DRYING TREND DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF SNOW MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-27. MIN HUMIDITY........48-56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1400. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2000...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18. MAX HUMIDITY........63%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 36-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38. MIN HUMIDITY........33-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LILY LAKE PILE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/07-14 40 40 20 96 SE 6 6 3 1 W22 1039 S 9 7806 P 03/07-15 47 40 20 96 SE 7 1 1005 S 9 8175 P 03/07-16 47 40 20 96 SE 8 1 971 S 10 8544 P 03/07-17 47 70 19 99 SE 9 9 3 1 SW20 936 S 12 8913 P 03/07-18 95 70 19 99 SE 9 1 949 S 12 9398 P 03/07-19 95 70 18 98 SE 8 1 962 S 12 9884 P 03/07-20 95 70 17 95 SE 7 7 3 1 SW16 974 S 13 10369 P 03/07-21 100 70 17 93 SE 8 1 888 S 13 9408 P 03/07-22 100 70 16 90 SE 9 1 801 S 13 8447 P 03/07-23 100 70 16 89 SE 9 9 3 1 SW15 715 S 12 7486 P 03/08-00 100 70 16 87 SE 8 1 563 S 10 5568 P 03/08-01 100 70 16 85 S 7 1 411 S 9 3650 P 03/08-02 100 70 15 85 S 6 6 3 1 SW13 260 S 8 1733 P 03/08-03 100 70 15 89 S 5 1 262 SW 8 1780 P 03/08-04 100 70 15 90 SW 5 1 264 W 8 1827 P 03/08-05 100 70 15 95 W 5 5 3 1 SW 8 266 W 8 1875 P 03/08-06 100 70 16 90 W 5 1 443 W 10 4727 P 03/08-07 100 70 17 90 NW 6 1 620 NW 13 7579 P 03/08-08 100 70 19 84 NW 7 7 3 1 W 8 797 NW 15 10431 P 03/08-09 100 70 21 82 NW 7 1 1699 NW 17 28639 P 03/08-10 100 70 22 74 NW 8 1 2601 NW 20 46847 F 03/08-11 92 42 24 69 NW 8 8 2 1 NW16 3504 NW 22 65055 G 03/08-12 92 42 25 65 NW 8 1 4026 NW 22 76813 G 03/08-13 92 42 26 61 NW 9 1 4548 NW 22 88572 G 03/08-14 92 42 26 59 NW 9 9 2 1 W23 5071 NW 23 100330 V 03/08-15 92 42 26 57 NW 9 1 5063 NW 24 107998 V 03/08-16 92 42 26 55 NW 9 1 5055 NW 26 115667 V 03/08-17 53 30 25 54 W 13 21 2 1 NW35 4979 NW 29 123365 V 03/08-18 53 30 24 54 W 13 1 4353 NW 29 107691 V 03/08-19 53 30 23 54 W 14 1 3728 W 29 92017 G 03/08-20 53 20 22 54 W 15 24 4 1 NW47 3103 W 29 76342 G 03/08-21 53 20 21 53 W 16 1 2622 W 30 66174 G 03/08-22 53 20 20 53 W 18 1 2141 W 31 56006 F 03/08-23 45 20 20 53 W 21 33 3 1 NW46 1660 W 32 45838 F 03/09-00 45 20 19 56 W 23 1 1768 W 35 53810 F 03/09-01 45 20 19 60 W 24 1 1877 W 38 61781 G 03/09-02 45 20 18 63 W 25 40 2 1 NW66 1985 W 40 69752 G 03/09-03 45 20 18 63 W 25 1 2018 W 41 73602 G 03/09-04 45 20 18 63 W 25 1 2051 W 44 77451 G 03/09-05 31 20 18 62 W 25 40 2 1 NW76 2084 W 45 81301 G 03/09-06 31 20 19 61 W 25 1 2431 W 46 96558 G 03/09-07 31 20 21 56 W 25 1 2778 W 46 111815 V 03/09-08 31 20 23 51 W 25 40 2 1 NW63 3126 W 47 127072 V 03/09-09 31 20 26 47 W 25 1 3557 W 47 147163 V 03/09-10 31 20 28 43 W 24 1 3988 W 48 167254 E 03/09-11 30 20 30 41 W 24 39 4 1 NW66 4420 W 48 187346 E 03/09-12 30 20 32 39 W 24 1 4416 W 48 184194 E 03/09-13 30 20 33 38 W 25 1 4412 W 47 181042 E 03/09-14 30 20 34 37 W 25 40 4 1 NW69 4408 W 46 177890 E 03/09-15 30 20 34 38 W 24 1 4061 W 45 159399 E 03/09-16 30 20 33 40 W 23 1 3715 W 44 140909 V 03/09-17 23 0 32 42 W 22 35 4 1 NW56 3368 W 41 122419 V 03/09-18 23 0 31 43 W 20 1 2955 W 38 100433 V 03/09-19 23 0 30 45 W 17 1 2542 W 35 78447 G 03/09-20 23 0 28 47 W 16 25 4 1 NW46 2129 W 31 56462 F 03/09-21 23 0 27 49 W 15 1 1952 W 28 47881 F 03/09-22 23 0 27 50 W 15 1 1775 W 25 39300 P 03/09-23 18 0 26 50 W 15 24 3 1 NW44 1598 W 22 30720 P 03/10-00 18 0 25 50 W 15 1 1422 W 22 26604 P 03/10-01 18 0 25 51 W 15 1 1246 W 21 22488 P 03/10-02 18 0 25 51 W 15 24 2 1 NW46 1070 W 20 18372 P 03/10-03 18 0 24 51 W 15 1 1026 W 20 17803 P 03/10-04 18 0 24 52 W 15 1 982 W 21 17235 P 03/10-05 21 0 25 53 W 15 24 2 1 NW47 938 W 21 16666 P 03/10-06 21 0 25 56 W 15 1 1131 W 23 24190 P 03/10-07 21 0 27 54 W 16 1 1324 W 26 31715 P 03/10-08 21 0 30 52 W 17 28 3 1 NW41 1517 W 30 39239 P 03/10-09 21 0 33 49 W 20 1 1911 W 32 54966 F 03/10-10 21 0 36 47 W 21 1 2305 W 35 70694 G 03/10-11 21 0 39 45 W 22 35 4 1 NW35 2699 W 37 86421 G 03/10-12 21 0 41 43 W 22 1 3183 W 37 101936 V 03/10-13 21 0 42 41 W 21 1 3667 W 37 117451 V 03/10-14 21 0 43 40 W 20 31 4 1 W39 4151 W 37 132966 V 03/10-15 21 0 43 40 W 20 1 3943 W 38 129679 V 03/10-16 21 0 42 41 W 20 1 3734 W 39 126391 V 03/10-17 21 7 41 43 W 20 31 3 1 W51 3526 W 40 123103 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERALD TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110308.LILYL.01/BOU