FNUS75 KBOU 081356 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MORAINE PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 655 AM MST TUE MAR 8 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TODAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE I EXPECT LOW CLOUD COVER AND RATHER LIGHT WINDS AT LEAST THROUGH 1200 SO WILL GO WITH POOR DISPERSAL AT LEAST THROUGH 1200. THE MODELS SUGGEST BETTER MIXING WILL OCCUR AFTER 1200 WHICH MAY HELP DISPERSAL TO REACH THE GOOD CATEGORY BY 1300. HOWEVER IF MIXING DOES NOT OCCUR THEN DISPERSAL WILL REMAIN POOR THE ENTIRE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG UNTIL 1100. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28. MIN HUMIDITY........57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. GOOD AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14. MAX HUMIDITY........75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 33-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2600-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000. GOOD AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 41-52 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MORAINE PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/08-06 93 46 12 98 W 6 1 308 W 9 2935 P 03/08-07 93 46 13 93 W 8 1 398 W 13 4961 P 03/08-08 93 46 15 86 NW 10 16 2 1 NW13 488 NW 16 6986 P 03/08-09 93 46 18 77 NW 12 1 1769 NW 20 37947 P 03/08-10 93 46 21 70 NW 12 1 3050 NW 23 68908 G 03/08-11 92 27 23 64 NW 12 18 2 1 W17 4332 NW 26 99869 G 03/08-12 92 27 24 60 NW 12 1 4601 NW 28 108606 V 03/08-13 92 27 26 58 NW 12 1 4871 NW 28 117342 V 03/08-14 92 27 26 57 NW 12 18 2 1 W24 5141 W 29 126078 V 03/08-15 92 27 26 57 NW 12 1 5183 NW 30 137016 V 03/08-16 92 27 25 59 W 10 1 5226 NW 32 147954 V 03/08-17 65 10 24 61 W 10 16 2 1 NW44 5269 NW 35 158891 E 03/08-18 65 10 23 61 W 10 1 4825 NW 35 145436 V 03/08-19 65 10 21 62 W 12 1 4381 NW 35 131980 V 03/08-20 65 10 19 63 W 13 21 2 1 NW55 3938 NW 35 118524 V 03/08-21 65 10 18 62 W 13 1 3538 NW 35 104944 V 03/08-22 65 10 17 61 W 14 1 3139 W 33 91363 G 03/08-23 52 10 16 61 W 14 22 2 1 NW56 2740 W 32 77783 G 03/09-00 52 10 16 63 W 15 1 2729 W 36 84894 G 03/09-01 52 10 15 65 W 15 1 2718 W 39 92004 G 03/09-02 52 10 15 68 W 16 25 2 1 NW70 2708 W 43 99115 G 03/09-03 52 10 15 71 W 17 1 2666 W 43 97431 G 03/09-04 52 10 15 73 W 17 1 2624 W 41 95746 G 03/09-05 46 5 14 75 W 17 28 2 1 NW81 2582 W 41 94061 G 03/09-06 46 5 16 72 W 17 1 2771 W 44 104713 V 03/09-07 46 5 16 70 W 16 1 2960 W 45 115364 V 03/09-08 46 5 19 64 W 16 25 3 1 NW70 3149 NW 46 126016 V 03/09-09 46 5 20 62 W 17 1 3653 NW 45 141202 V 03/09-10 46 5 25 52 W 17 1 4158 NW 44 156388 E 03/09-11 36 0 27 50 W 18 28 3 1 NW61 4662 NW 43 171575 E 03/09-12 36 0 30 46 W 18 1 4836 NW 41 174452 E 03/09-13 36 0 33 43 W 18 1 5009 NW 40 177328 E 03/09-14 36 0 34 42 W 17 26 3 1 NW64 5182 NW 40 180205 E 03/09-15 36 0 32 45 W 15 1 4577 NW 38 154568 E 03/09-16 36 0 31 48 W 14 1 3972 W 37 128931 V 03/09-17 25 0 26 56 W 12 17 3 1 NW58 3367 W 36 103294 V 03/09-18 25 0 25 59 W 10 1 2911 W 32 83934 G 03/09-19 25 0 24 61 W 10 1 2456 W 29 64574 G 03/09-20 25 0 23 61 W 10 16 3 1 NW44 2000 W 26 45214 F 03/09-21 15 0 22 62 W 12 1 1750 W 25 38322 P 03/09-22 15 0 21 62 W 13 1 1501 W 24 31429 P 03/09-23 15 0 21 64 W 14 21 2 1 NW44 1251 W 23 24537 P 03/10-00 15 0 20 64 W 14 1 1263 W 22 24586 P 03/10-01 15 0 20 65 W 13 1 1274 W 22 24634 P 03/10-02 15 0 20 65 W 13 20 2 1 W53 1285 W 22 24683 P 03/10-03 15 0 19 69 W 14 1 1215 W 25 26111 P 03/10-04 15 0 20 65 W 14 1 1145 W 28 27539 P 03/10-05 21 0 19 68 W 15 23 2 1 NW44 1074 W 31 28967 P 03/10-06 21 0 21 65 W 15 1 1118 W 31 29785 P 03/10-07 21 0 22 64 W 15 1 1163 W 30 30604 P 03/10-08 21 0 24 59 W 14 21 3 1 NW39 1207 W 30 31422 P 03/10-09 22 0 26 59 W 13 1 1826 W 30 46070 F 03/10-10 22 0 32 51 W 13 1 2444 W 29 60717 G 03/10-11 23 0 35 50 W 13 20 3 1 W21 3063 W 29 75365 G 03/10-12 23 0 38 45 W 14 1 3659 W 31 99603 G 03/10-13 24 0 41 41 W 14 1 4255 W 33 123842 V 03/10-14 24 0 43 39 W 15 23 2 1 W26 4852 W 36 148080 V 03/10-15 24 0 41 42 W 15 1 4233 W 37 133388 V 03/10-16 24 0 40 44 W 16 1 3615 W 38 118695 V 03/10-17 33 0 35 53 W 16 24 3 1 W32 2997 W 40 104003 V 03/10-18 33 0 33 55 W 16 1 2393 W 37 80310 G 03/10-19 33 0 32 57 W 16 1 1788 W 35 56617 F 03/10-20 34 0 31 57 W 16 23 2 1 W39 1183 W 32 32925 P 03/10-21 35 0 30 57 W 16 1 1146 W 32 31863 P 03/10-22 36 0 30 56 W 16 1 1109 W 32 30802 P 03/10-23 38 6 29 57 W 16 24 2 1 W44 1072 W 32 29741 P 03/11-00 39 6 29 57 W 17 1 1095 W 36 34492 P 03/11-01 40 6 28 58 W 20 1 1118 W 40 39244 P 03/11-02 41 6 28 57 W 21 31 2 1 W52 1142 W 45 43996 F 03/11-03 41 6 27 60 W 23 1 1085 W 47 44075 F 03/11-04 41 6 28 58 W 24 1 1028 W 49 44155 F 03/11-05 41 5 27 59 W 25 38 2 1 W54 971 W 53 44234 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERALD TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110308.MORAI.01/BOU