FNUS75 KGJT 080223
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPIN PILE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
723 PM MST MON MAR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST THIS MORNING AND OUT
OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AND
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SMOKE DISPERSAL TODAY.
WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN LESS
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH...INCREASING TO 6-12 MPH
                    AFTER 1200. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 25000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1200...EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN
                    AND NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 26 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 20000 KNOT-FT) BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 15000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN FAIR (49000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110308.CHAPI.01/GJT