FNUS75 KGJT 081627
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOREFIELD PILE...NPS _ MESA VERDE NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
927 AM MST TUE MAR 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0920 MST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE LATEST WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY TO
THE EAST TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO UTAH WILL RESULT IN A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WILL KEEP NORTHWEST WINDS
PRESENT. WITH SOME DAYTIME HEATING AND MIXING...OCCASIONAL WINDS
GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED. WARMING ALOFT ON WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN
MORE STABLE CONDITIONS AND LESS VERTICAL MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-37 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7-10 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT 1000 INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH INCREASING TO 23 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (15700-16400 KNOT-FT) BY 2200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH DECREASING TO 10 MPH BY 2200.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16400 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
                    TO GOOD (71200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL BY 1100 INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH AT 1100 INCREASING TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110308.MOREF.01/GJT