FNUS73 KPAH 081608 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ENERGY LAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE (LBL) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1008 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 CST ON MARCH 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DESPITE THE HIGH CHANCE OF RAIN TODAY...IT WILL BE DRY AT BURN TIME INITIATION. PLUMES SHOULD RISE TO ABOUT 1500 FEET AGL AT INITIATION TIME...LIFTING TO NEAR 3400 FEET AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE TRANSPORT LAYER WILL AVERAGE 10 MPH AT THE 20 FT LEVEL BUT MAY CONTAIN SOME HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 53 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION LIFTING TO 3400 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 54 57 59 60 60 60 60 RH..............60 57 53 51 49 51 53 53 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CWR.............0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 86 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 56 55 54 53 52 RH..............59 66 74 80 86 89 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............100 100 100 90 90 90 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...TIM VETTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110308.ENERG.01/PAH