FNUS74 KEPZ 100240
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR QUAIL RIDGE...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
740 PM MST WED MAR 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1910 MST ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER-LEVEL ZONAL FLOW WILL BRING FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER TO THE AREA
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL REMAIN QUITE DRY...AND A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL BRING A
SLIGHT ENHANCEMENT TO THE WINDS FOR FRIDAY.  MAX TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE PERIOD WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

OVERNIGHT EXPECT VERY LIGHT WINDS...TERRAIN-DRIVEN DRAINAGE FLOWS.
DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...SO RH WILL ONLY RECOVER UP
TO ABOUT 30 PERCENT.

WINDS TOMORROW WILL SLOWLY BECOME SOUTHEAST... MORE SOUTHERLY BY
LATE AFTERNOON...BUT STILL LIGHT.  AIRMASS WILL BE VERY DRY...SINGLE
DIGIT MIN RH VALUES.  LIGHT/VARIABLE DRAINAGE FLOWS TOMORROW NIGHT.

FRIDAY...WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
ROCKIES...WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...
MAY SEE BRIEF GUSTS IN THE 15-18 MPH RANGE MID/LATE AFTERNOON.  MIN
RH WILL REMAIN VERY LOW...UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO AROUND 10 PERCENT.
EXPECT LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT.

SATURDAY...VERY SIMILAR TO FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS A LITTLE
LESS GUSTY.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........MAX 59,200 KNOT-FEET (POOR)


.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS 15-18 MPH LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 9000 FEET AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........MAX 117,000 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD)


.SATURDAY...OUTLOOK

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-55 PERCENT)
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS 12-15 MPH LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........MAX 96,000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD)


$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110309.QUAIL.01/EPZ