FNUS72 KMFL 091138
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR POLLY H. RX BRIGHTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
638 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR POLLY H RX BRIGHTON...SEMINOLE TRIBE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
637 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FARTHER INTO THE ATLANTIC
TODAY WHILE A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. THIS WILL CREATE GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT THE BURN
SITE FOR THE FIRST HALF THE DAY, HOWEVER AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER AWAY WINDS WILL RELAX THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. MAX AFTERNOON DISPERSION VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
GENERALLY GOOD. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE
DAY, BUT MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
AREA AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     79     82     82     81     76
RH..............68     56     51     51     53     62
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 6    SE 9   SE 9   SE 7   E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     20     20     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2    E 6    SE 9   SE 9   SE 7   E 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      10     20     20     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   3100   4500   4500   4000   2200
MIXNG WIND......SE 15  SE 17  SE 18  SE 18  SE 16  SE 13
DISPERSION IDX..33     56     54     54     60     8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 1
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 45 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...TINGLER
REQUESTED BY...K YEATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...KEITH YEATES
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.