FNUS72 KMHX 091349 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 8 1 7 PEA ISLAND...USFWS ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 849 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON MARCH 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST OFF THE EAST COAST TODAY. AS IT DOES SO...EAST WINDS WILL SLOWLY BECOME EAST-SOUTHEAST BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE FROM THE WEST AND THICKEN TODAY...WHILE SOME LOW CLOUDS MAY WORK THEIR WAY IN FROM THE ATLANTIC. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING WIDESPREAD ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 16 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............73 75 76 76 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................49 51 52 52 RH..................86 83 83 86 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 18 E 18 E 17 SE 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............75 76 82 81 83 92 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................52 52 52 52 52 51 RH..................86 89 93 96 100 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 17 SE 17 SE 18 SE 20 SE 21 SE 22 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 25 30 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 23 TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 37 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............90 90 94 98 99 97 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................51 52 59 61 63 61 RH..................100 100 83 78 72 78 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 23 S 23 S 24 S 24 S 25 S 25 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........5 5 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WILLIS REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110309.817PE.01/MHX